Fightback for 2012

3 May, 2008

2012 is only four years away and I have been thinking about who would be good as Labour’s candidate. Points to remember

1) in 2012 we may not be in government which I think makes a big difference

2) Being a winning candidate for Mayor of London isn’t like being promoted from being a back bencher to Parliamentary under sec in the ministry of paperclips. If you look at Labour members of parliament in London very few of them would be a good mayoral candidate that’s not because they’re bad it just a different ball game that is being played here.

We need someone that can connect with the whole London electorate, not just one section and name recognition,”personality” and media presence will be vital.

Ken Livingstone

Advantages – Name recognition in spades. Can do the job really well.

Disadvantages – Was to much a zone 1 mayor, thought he was David Miliband and started to run his own foreign policy, not getting any younger.

Harriet Harman

Advantages- Decent name recognition, shouldn’t be to scary to zone 6 people, won the deputy leadership against the odds. Senior Pol. Good record on equality “harperson” which could be used to bash Boris if he goes down that avenue.

Disadvantages – Got fired early in the first term, What she may win from the middle class will she lose from the working class? Is she going to be the voice of London as opposed to the voice of the party?

Jon Cruddas

Advantages – Most innovative thinker out of the lot of them , can run an insurgent campaign, can appeal to the working class in ways that some Labour politicians can’t any more yet no be scary to the middle. Dagenham and Rainham is his constituency so not a Zone 1 luvvie. Could be a really authentic voice for London and not the establishment

Disadvantages – Needs to secure his seat after boundary changes, not in the premier league of name recognition, needs to go on HIGNFU

Tessa Jowell

Advantages – decent name recognition, like Hillary has been through the political washer, the Olympics, like Harman isn’t going to scare the tory burbs to much

disadvantages – to much the voice for new labour when the voice of london is needed. Olympic costs could well be an issue

Dawn Butler

Advantages – “Boris needs a Butler to sort the mess he made of London” I can hear it now. A real authentic Londoner. Not you average politico.

Disadvantages – Marginal seat that needs work. Just about a name in her own household but not at the Ken vs Boris level at the mo, perhaps should be on the longer term bet list.

Tony Blair

Advantages – name recognition beyond compare, as Jowell said “the best in the business”, Labour’s most electorally successful politician

Disadvantages- the iraq war, probably can’t afford it,

Piers Morgan/other random celeb

Advantages – Everybody knows who he is

Disadvantage – Makes some people want to get to a sick bag fast, see Headcases on ITV but hell it didn’t stop Boris, are we sure he’s not a tory?

Nicky Gavron

Advantages – Safe pair of hands, Ken’s former deputy

Disadvantages – Perhaps not a big enough personality. Her middle name is not excitement.

Longer term bets

Chuka Umunna and Alon Or Bach – Alon4London you heard it here first.

Feel free to suggest other names after all we need all the help we can get.

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13 Responses to “Fightback for 2012”

  1. Chris Paul said

    You have missed out:

    Michael Portillo
    Diane Abbott (possibly as a job-share)
    and most import
    Lee Jasper

    Of your list Cruddas has some potential but Blair would perhaps have the best chance of all these.

    Hilary Benn?

    And here’s one for a laugh: Margaret Barking

  2. Caroline said

    I was thinking Cruddas too if he can start to raise his profile now. Why? He has maximum respect from party members and activists, which anyone running for tthis kind of office needs. He’s Irish (so appeals to London’s immigrant population), catholic (ditto with the faith community), is white working class (so can appeal to white working class in inner and outer Lonson), educated and cosmopolitan (so appeals to those urban intellectuals who we’ve lost to the Lib Dems in inner London), solid, good track record of working with the unions (appeals to London’s public sector and low paid workers). Cruddas for London Mayor!

  3. parburypolitica said

    Hi Chris,

    I like Benn junior to but a leeds MP isn’t going to work. Thought about Lammy needs to raise his profile but a possibility. It amuses me greatly that your turning into a Blairite in your old age 😉

    Caroline

    I supported Cruddas during the deputy leadership election I can see the appeal. If he goes for it wholeheartedly he stands a very good chance indeed.

  4. John A said

    Frank Dobson take 2

  5. davidh said

    val shawcross would and well be excellent and could start now by being ekected as leader of gla members and start the battle now

  6. parburypolitica said

    The problem with assembly members is they they have a pretty low profile in general still she has some time.

  7. British Asian said

    I am liking your thinking with Harriet Harman. She is a very pretty photogenic lady, still only in her 40s, good association with London and of course she is much posher than Boris Johnson. She too went to expensive public school and on top of which she is the niece of an earl! We will see your posh toff and we will raise you ours who is much posher!

  8. Stuart said

    Cruddas is credible as a possible contender, but I’m not sure he has the appeal we need in the suburbs.

    Harman may fancy it (along with a host of other parliamentarians) if we are indeed out of office at the time of the selection.

    Dawn Butler is an intersting suggestion and not one that should be ignored – but she does need to raise her profile, and in this climate how does one do that without being a Government rebel?

    Agree that no one on the Assembly has what it takes to run for Mayor but that might not stop one or two thinking they do! And if that’s not clear enough: ABSOLUTELY NOT NICKY GAVRON!

  9. […] 8, 2008 in Uncategorized Interesting debate here at Labourhome, hot on the heels of a post by Will Parbury the day after the mayoral results, ponders on who the next Labour mayoral candidate should be. Iain Dale has […]

  10. […] May, 2008 You may have noticed that I posted earlier about possible Labour London mayoral candidates but I have to confess to committing the most […]

  11. […] mentioned earlier Dawn Butler as a potential London mayoral candidate, check her out on the Daily Politics (available only for a […]

  12. del said

    Chuka’s going to be our best candidate by miles.

    Young, slick, good looking – a genuine rising star of the left.

    watch this space, indeed!

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